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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+207/-311).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +213 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +207.
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the end zone this week (23.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.0% in games he has played).
  • Kyle Pitts has compiled a whopping 70.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for tight ends.

  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs, completing just 62.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.
  • Kyle Pitts ranks in the 24th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging just 0.06 per game.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (64%) to tight ends since the start of last season (64.0%).

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