Kyle Philips Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Kyle Philips

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Philips Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (198.0) to wideouts this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) vs. wideouts this year (68.9%).
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. WRs this year, allowing 10.28 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.