Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:22 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+545/-590).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Juszczyk has earned a lowly 0.0% of his team's red zone run game usage this year, ranking him in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.
With a top-tier 9.7% Red Zone Target% (85th percentile) this year, Kyle Juszczyk stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
In regards to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk grades out in the towering 99th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a massive 13.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
The 49ers O-line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
With an exceptional rate of 0.40 per game through the air (99th percentile), Kyle Juszczyk rates as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is suggested by the 49ers being an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
Kyle Juszczyk's 72.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 85.8% mark.