Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 4:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-137/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
Kyle Juszczyk has notched a whopping 16.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Kyle Juszczyk's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 79th percentile for running backs.
The San Francisco O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.0 total plays run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the 49ers this year (a measly 51.7 per game on average).
Kyle Juszczyk's 61.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 85.8% rate.
This year, the strong Falcons defense has given up a mere 75.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-best rate in football.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has shown good efficiency versus RBs this year, surrendering 4.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.