Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-102).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing a whopping 8.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
Kyle Juszczyk comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, averaging a terrific 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 98th percentile.
Favors Under
The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 30.33 seconds per play.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.8%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (72.8%).
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Denver's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.