Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging a superb 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
Kyle Juszczyk comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, catching a stellar 86.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.
With a stellar 8.8 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Juszczyk has been among the best RBs in the pass game in football.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.0 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the fewest in football.
The Cardinals linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.