Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 76.3% to 86.0%.
Kyle Juszczyk's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this year, compiling 8.97 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.31 rate last year.
Kyle Juszczyk's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this year, averaging 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.62 figure last year.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) vs. RBs this year.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Kyle Juszczyk has posted far fewer air yards this year (4.0 per game) than he did last year (14.0 per game).
Kyle Juszczyk's 8.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 15.9.

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