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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kyle Juszczyk has run a route on 43.6% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has compiled a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has been among the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging a stellar 19.0 yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 9.71 yards-per-target vs just 7.54 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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