Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Juszczyk has run a route on 43.6% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
Kyle Juszczyk has compiled a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Kyle Juszczyk has been among the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging a stellar 19.0 yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
Kyle Juszczyk's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 9.71 yards-per-target vs just 7.54 rate last season.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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