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Kyle Allen

Kyle Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Kyle Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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