K.J. Osborn Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3126/-3471).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.
The Tennessee offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Browns defense has been torched for the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.17 per game this year.
This year, the fierce Browns run defense has surrendered a feeble 0.17 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the best rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 8th-most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (45.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Titans.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 50.7 plays per game.