K.J. Osborn Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+132/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
K.J. Osborn has been used less as a potential target this year (93.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (81.2%).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
The Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.9%) versus wideouts this year (72.9%).

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

More K.J. Osborn Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow