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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+132/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
  • The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • K.J. Osborn has been used less as a potential target this year (93.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (81.2%).
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.9%) versus wideouts this year (72.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

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