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K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+282/-486).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -477 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -486.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.K.J. Osborn grades out in the 88th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.39 per game.The Minnesota Vikings have gone up against a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 4th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 6th-least TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.78 per game since the start of last season.The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
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