K.J. Osborn Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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K.J. Osborn

NFL · Player Props

K.J. Osborn

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

K.J. Osborn Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-767).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +405 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +376.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
K.J. Osborn has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (47.0 per game).
The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 0.69 per game this year.

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