Kirk Cousins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2400/-25000).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
With a 60.7% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football in this regard has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
At only 27.60 seconds per play, the Las Vegas Raiders offense comes in as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.
In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded a puny 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the best CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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