Kirk Cousins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1941/-2226).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Raiders, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 28.00 seconds per play.
The model projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most out of all QBs.
Kirk Cousins has not tried to run the ball himself in the red zone at all this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Patriots defense has given up the 10th-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.25 per game this year.
The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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