Kirk Cousins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1776/-2579).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Raiders, who are -5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
Our trusted projections expect Kirk Cousins to throw 37.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
While Kirk Cousins has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 5.6%.
The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Chiefs defense has given up the 3rd-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 1.00 per game since the start of last season.

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