Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 7, 2026 3:07 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a massive -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
With a 58.2% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league in this respect has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
In this contest, Kirk Cousins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.9.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, San Francisco's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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