Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 6, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Raiders, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 28.01 seconds per play.
The model projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
Kirk Cousins's 66.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a remarkable improvement in his passing precision over last season's 60.8% mark.

Favors Under

The Patriots defense has given up the 10th-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.25 per game this year.
The New England cornerbacks project as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.