Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+153/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -203 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
In this week's contest, Kirk Cousins is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.6.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-least pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone pass rate.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New Orleans Saints, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.9 per game) since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.