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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Kirk Cousins is projected by the projections to total the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.1.
  • With an excellent ratio of 1.75 per game (85th percentile), Kirk Cousins rates as one of the top TD throwers in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's group of safeties has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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