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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

The projections expect Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.0 passes this week, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Kirk Cousins profiles as one of the most on-target passers in the league this year with a remarkable 67.9% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league in the red zone (52.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the NFL against the Saints defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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