Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

TD Passes

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 41.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.23 per game this year.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties profile as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Kirk Cousins Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow