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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 41.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.23 per game this year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties profile as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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