Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+127/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.3% run rate.
Last year, the anemic Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 136.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 6th-worst in football.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.0 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders last year (a lowly 52.4 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
The projections expect Kirk Cousins to total 1.8 carries in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.
Taking on a measly 3.2% of his offense's rushing play calls last year (8th percentile when it comes to QBs), Kirk Cousins's lack of mobility makes him no threat with his legs.

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