Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 9, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Kirk Cousins is forecasted by the projection model to accrue the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.3.
With a very bad tally of 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (8th percentile), Kirk Cousins ranks as one of the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL last year.
Kirk Cousins's rushing effectiveness (2.08 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL last year (14th percentile among QBs).

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