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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (6.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.4% in games he has played).

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

Kirk Cousins's running efficiency (6.17 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (76th percentile among QBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to accumulate 1.8 carries in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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