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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (8.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.6% in games he has played).

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to total 1.9 carries in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

Kirk Cousins has averaged a mere 6.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (24th percentile).

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