Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 254.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 255.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Kirk Cousins is projected by our trusted projection set to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.
Since the start of last season, the stout Panthers defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a meager 7.4 yards.
This year, the poor Panthers defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a monstrous 6.10 YAC.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's safety corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
Kirk Cousins's 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year marks a meaningful decline in his throwing proficiency over last year's 293.0 rate.