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Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 213.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 222.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 213.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.Kirk Cousins has attempted 37.2 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.With a remarkable record of 270.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Kirk Cousins rates as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Saints defense since the start of last season (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
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