Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Pass Attempts

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Kirk Cousins has attempted 37.2 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

Favors Under

With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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