Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Pass Attempts

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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