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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.8 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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