Kirk Cousins Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Interceptions

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 40.1 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets have intercepted 0.93 targets per game this year, ranking as the 6th-best defense in the NFL by this standard.
The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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