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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to throw 38.5 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most out of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league versus the Seahawks defense this year (73.8% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Seahawks safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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