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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kirk Cousins has attempted 37.2 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Saints defense since the start of last season (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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