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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • This week, Kirk Cousins is anticipated by the model to total the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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