Kirk Cousins Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Completions

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to attempt 40.5 passes in this game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins's passing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 65.2% to 70.9%.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.

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