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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Khalil Shakir has run fewer routes this season (42.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (25.7%).
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Khalil Shakir's receiving talent has been refined this year, compiling 2.3 adjusted receptions vs a measly 1.0 last year.
  • With a fantastic 83.9% Adjusted Completion% (95th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.0 per game) this year.

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