Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Khalil Herbert to accumulate 13.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

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