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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Khalil Herbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Denver's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Khalil Herbert has been among the worst pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.9 receptions per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile among RBs.
  • Khalil Herbert's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 81.8% to 74.0%.

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