Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 12:42 PM EST

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.4%) vs. RBs this year (87.4%).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
The 6th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Falcons this year (only 54.4 per game on average).

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