Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 12:22 PM EST

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-270).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
This year, the poor San Francisco 49ers defense has given up a monstrous 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the most in football.
This year, the shaky San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed a colossal 88.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.5% pass rate.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Falcons have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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