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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-116).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

Khalil Herbert's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 87.5% to 100.0%.

Khalil Herbert's pass-game efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 9.79 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.35 figure last year.

Khalil Herbert has been among the best running backs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 8.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 84th percentile.

The Chicago Bears offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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