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Khalil Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Khalil Herbert
RB · Chicago Bears
Carries
Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 5, 2023 11:21 PM EST
NFL Props Khalil Herbert Carries

Khalil Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bears to run on 48.6% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This week, Khalil Herbert is expected by the model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.5 rush attempts.
  • After accounting for 30.2% of his team's carries last year, Khalil Herbert has been called on more in the running game this year, currently accounting for 43.3%.
  • The Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Favors Under
  • The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
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