Khalil Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football last year.
The Browns linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bears offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.87 seconds per play.
While Khalil Herbert has received 34.7% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Chicago's run game in this contest at 16.3%.

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