KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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KhaDarel Hodge

NFL · Player Props

KhaDarel Hodge

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 2:42 PM EST

Analysis

KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+756/-1086).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
While KhaDarel Hodge has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of San Francisco's pass game near the end zone this week at 7.1%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 30.33 seconds per play.
When talking about air yards, KhaDarel Hodge ranks in just the 23rd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, with just 13.0 per game.
KhaDarel Hodge places in just the 14th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a weak 8.2 figure since the start of last season.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Broncos defense since the start of last season (66.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the fewest TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 0.40 per game since the start of last season.

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