KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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KhaDarel Hodge

NFL · Player Props

KhaDarel Hodge

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

KhaDarel Hodge Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1242/-1683).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers rank as the 5th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.0 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, KhaDarel Hodge stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
KhaDarel Hodge has accrued a paltry 14.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 24th percentile when it comes to WRs.

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