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KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
  • KhaDarel Hodge has run a route on 29.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile among WRs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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