Keon Coleman Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Keon Coleman

WR · Buffalo Bills

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 8, 2026 11:32 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Coleman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+251/-360).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -360.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
This year, the weak Rams defense has yielded a monstrous 1.50 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 52.5 plays per game.
As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.