Keon Coleman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Keon Coleman

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 8, 2026 11:22 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Coleman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower rush volume.

Favors Under

The Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 52.5 plays per game.
As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the daunting Rams defense has surrendered a mere 135.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-best in football.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.50 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-fewest in football.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.