Kenny Pickett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+205/-285).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Kenny Pickett has been among the worst TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a paltry 0.57 per game while grading out in the 8th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season (65.4%).
The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 5th-least passing TDs in football: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.

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